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PATCH WATCH / DEADLOCK

Deadlock

All trackers

Deadlock tier list · Heroes · Items →

Street level / Bellevue

Video: City of Bellevue ↗
CONNECTING

Bellevue Way / NE 4th

Nearest HQ street intersection
CONNECTING
CONNECTING
CONNECTING
CONNECTING
CONNECTING

Live public roads, not a view inside Valve. ← / → switch · F fullscreen. Streams pause after 30 seconds per City bandwidth guidance; press Play to resume.

Stream unavailable? WSDOT fallback stills ↗

PATCH IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS

9%

An estimate. Not a promise from Valve.

SINCE LAST PATCH

2d 03h 36m 13s

You can probably make a cup of tea.

Last major update: Sep 29, 2026

PUBLIC SIGNALS / UNOFFICIAL ESTIMATEReading:

LIVE / WAITING ROOM

Something is happening. Somewhere.

Players on Steam

no reading

An entire crowd with the same refresh key. Source: Steam ↗

Test branch pushes today

0

Observed change-number transitions across public test apps, since midnight UTC. Sampling can miss pushes. The machinery is doing machinery things. Source: steamcmd.net ↗.

PATCH HISTORY / LAST 26 WEEKS

Deadlock: signs of life

Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear

■ Patch day · dark = no patch in available feed · outline = no reading. Pacific dates; the source may cover less than 26 weeks.

Read the dated patch history ↗

DAILY CALL / PACIFIC TIME

Patch today? Call it.

One call per network per game per day. Calls close when a patch lands.

No calls yet. A rare consensus.

Results settle when a patch lands, or after midnight Pacific.

Correct-call streak on this browser: no reading

THE COLLECTIVE WAIT

We could have learned a language.

0.0 h

Community time logged on visible tracker tabs since this counter launched. Whole minutes, at most one per network each minute. Requires shared Redis storage.

The tab title alerts you when a new patch is detected. Checks every 60 seconds while this page is open.

Open live share card ↗ · Latest patch notes ↗

[ EXTERIOR FEEDS / PUGET SOUND ]

Outside is still rendering.

● CAMERAS AVAILABLE

Bellevue: I-405 at MP 13.7: NE 7th St, West

Bellevue: I-405 at MP 13.7: NE 7th St, West

0.9 km from HQ · Last camera update

View on Windy ↗ · Camera operator ↗

1 / 12

Public surroundings, not a view inside Valve. Stills are periodic snapshots. Daylight is an earlier daylight image.

Webcams provided by Windy.com — add a webcam

Bellevue: I-405 at MP 13.7: NE 7th St, West

// COMMUNITY TELEMETRY

the internet is watching

The audience has assembled. The patch remains at large.

Deadlock

TWITCH / OBSERVED

15,576live viewers

658live channels

Observed · updates every 5 min

010,99221,983−24h−18h−12h−6hlatest05:10 UTC · 21,983 viewers · 868 channels06:25 UTC · 17,587 viewers · 704 channels06:30 UTC · 17,566 viewers · 742 channels06:35 UTC · 17,262 viewers · 701 channels06:40 UTC · 16,940 viewers · 672 channels06:45 UTC · 15,576 viewers · 658 channels
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
24h observations · 5-minute samples · gaps mean no reading
View recorded counts
Deadlock · recorded Twitch samples (UTC)
TimeViewersChannels
2026-10-17 05:1021,983868
2026-10-17 06:2517,587704
2026-10-17 06:3017,566742
2026-10-17 06:3517,262701
2026-10-17 06:4016,940672
2026-10-17 06:4515,576658

Spike detector: no reading · needs 30 minutes of continuous samples

Heuristic, not patch confirmation. Tournaments and raids can also draw a crowd.

Top live streamers

  1. 01Surefour ↗The skys are looking Violet...2,963viewers
  2. 02eido ↗(DAY 16) Violet one trick I will be - MONTH LONG MARATHON - SUB CHALLENGES !challenges !quest1,844viewers
  3. 03dewamoon ↗violet shiv celeste pocket scrims later !yt !team757viewers
  4. 04CDNThe3rd ↗🌆🎨 🖌 "We don't make mistakes, just happy little respawns.." -BR | Unlocking more Heroes(9): 🟤 Sentinel Threeg 💪🏼 | @CDNThe3rd [+]738viewers
  5. 05Joechuck7 ↗NURSE HARROW TODAY 2pm PST !build641viewers

Source: Twitch Helix. Counts are collected across live pages, not an instantaneous census. Streamer links do not imply endorsement or overlay use.

01 / Live ADS-B · 25 nautical miles

Airspace / Bellevue

18 positioned aircraftN ↑ · HQ 47.6152, −122.2015
HQ25 NM99 aircraftABX3187UAL747N433LFDAL688ASA1373
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear

Orange = business jet type, not owner identity. Stacked positions are grouped; hover, focus or tap for every aircraft. Trails join the same hex within 3 minutes and 25 NM. Sweep is decorative.

02 / Patch gap distribution

How long is a long wait?

2.2 days since last release
TODAY · 13th percentile
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear

Historical gaps, not a probability forecast. Source coverage may be incomplete.

03 / Calendar · UTC

The release record

25 sourced releases · feed traversed to 2024

2024JAN → DEC
2025JAN → DEC
2026JAN → DEC
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
04 / Model decomposition

What moved the needle

9% entertainment estimate
Patch drought / median gapObserved pushes today (UTC)Observed test push recencyHistorical weekday priorPrivate jet activityRain at HQBird observation deficitAI service outagesTwitch viewer spike (estimate)
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear

Baseline −2.5 log-odds → sum contributions → logistic transform. Missing signals contribute zero. This model is not calibrated.

05 / Steam activity · trailing 72 hours

The build room has a pulse

MAINTEST 3488080TEST 3125160TEST 3125180
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear

no reading · collecting consecutive observations. −72h → latest observation. Blank regions are unobserved; spikes mean a change-number transition, not a release count. Process-local history; resets on restart.

06 / HQ schematic

A few blocks of circumstantial evidence

            │                   │             
            │                   │             
 BELLEVUE   │                   │             
            │                   │             
            │                   │             
────────────── NE 8TH ST ─────────────────────
            │                   │             
            │                   │             
            │                   │             
            │  [HQ]             │             
            │                   │             
────────────── NE 4TH ST ─────────────────────
            │                   │             
            │                   │             
            │                   │I-405        
            │                   │

14.2°C · wind 10.9 km/h · rain 0 mm · Open-Meteo · observation 2026-10-17T06:45:00Z · read at 2026-10-17T06:48:11.119Z

Schematic, not to scale. ▲ = observed aircraft in this local window. Camera locations: no reading.

Behind the number

THE INSTRUMENTS

Public inputs, weighted liberally. Missing readings add nothing.

Patch odds signal inputs, weights and contributions
SignalInputWeightEffect
Patch drought / median gapThe calendar has filed a complaint.0.081.20+0.10
Observed pushes today (UTC)The build machinery has made a noise.0.002.400.00
Observed test push recencySomething is being tested. Presumably patience.0.001.400.00
Historical weekday priorThe calendar is circumstantial evidence.0.150.80+0.12
Private jet activityBusiness class remains unconfirmed.0.000.150.00
Rain at HQOutside has been deprioritized.0.000.150.00
Bird observation deficitThe birds declined to comment.0.000.100.00
AI service outagesAutocomplete has requested a break.0.00-0.500.00
Twitch viewer spike (estimate)no readinginsufficient fresh Twitch baselineno reading0.40—
The formula, without the lab coatEstimate (entertainment, not calibrated): round(100 / (1 + exp(-(-2.5 + sum(signal.contribution))))). Each contribution = displayed weight × input. Missing readings contribute 0. Twitch weight 0.4; viewer-spike baseline is a heuristic. Pushes are observed transitions, not total releases.

Contributions affect the model score, not percentage points. These odds are an uncalibrated estimate for entertainment.

Recorded dev changes today: 0

Around HQ

BELLEVUE, WA

Circumstantial evidence. Emphasis on circumstantial.

Air traffic
0 private jets
18 aircraft nearby · 0 on approach
adsb.lol ↗
Weather
14.2°C
0 mm rain · 10.9 km/h wind · 1016.5 hPa · observation 2026-10-17T06:45:00Z
Open-Meteo ↗
Bird observations
2 over 7 UTC dates
1.5 weekly baseline · today and prior 6 UTC dates vs preceding 28 dates · sightings, not a bird census
iNaturalist ↗
AI services
2 / 2 operational
Public service status · no individual activity
OpenAI ↗ · Claude ↗

LAST TRANSMISSION

Latest patch

· minor update

Minor Update - 10-14-2026

- Radiant Regeneration: Spirit scaling reduced from 0.04 to 0.035 - Baba: Spirit Resistance scaling reduced from 0.12 to 0.1 - Baba: Now has -7% Base Bullet Res

Read patch notes Browse the patch archive →

RELEASE INTELLIGENCE / AVAILABLE HISTORY

A pattern. Allegedly.

26 observed patches

Release times use America/Los_Angeles (PST/PDT). Counts describe the fetched archive, not all-time history. steamstore-a.akamaihd.net.

01 / THE WAIT

Between transmissions

Completed gaps between consecutive patches. Today is the ongoing wait.

Gap-between-patches distribution

↳ Today · 2.2 days since latest patch

Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
View exact values and sources
Gap-between-patches distribution data
RecordValueSource / UTC
<1d1 intervalssteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
1–2d2 intervalssteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
2–4d2 intervalssteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
4–7d2 intervalssteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
7–14d7 intervalssteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
14–30d6 intervalssteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
30d+5 intervalssteamstore-a.akamaihd.net

02 / BELLEVUE TIME

When the button gets pressed

Release hour, 00–23. A timezone, not a promise.

Hour-of-day releases
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
View exact values and sources
Hour-of-day releases data
RecordValueSource / UTC
000 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
010 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
020 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
030 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
040 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
050 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
060 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
070 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
080 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
091 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
103 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
110 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
126 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
135 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
143 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
152 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
163 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
172 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
180 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
190 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
201 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
210 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
220 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
230 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net

03 / WEEKLY HABITS

Does Valve have a type?

Patch counts by local weekday.

Weekday releases
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
View exact values and sources
Weekday releases data
RecordValueSource / UTC
Mon1 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Tue5 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Wed4 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Thu10 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Fri4 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sat1 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sun1 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net

04 / READING MATERIAL

How long are the patch notes?

Plain-text word count, not download bytes. Full notes available for 26 / 26 patches.

Patch-size distribution (note words)
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
View exact values and sources
Patch-size distribution (note words) data
RecordValueSource / UTC
<1003 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
100–4998 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
500–9992 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
1k–3k8 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
3k+5 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net

05 / CADENCE

The wait, over time

Days between releases, oldest → newest.

Release gap history
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
View exact values and sources
Release gap history data
RecordValueSource / UTC
2024-11-0814.05 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/6148070194801611991
2024-12-0628.8 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1785321795648842
2024-12-1711.02 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1785774543697622
2025-02-2570.04 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1792116353369036
2025-05-0871.91 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1799088287841594
2025-11-21197.14 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1816849002015766
2026-03-06104.95 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1826362059925616
2026-04-3055.09 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1831432155569981
2026-05-2221.92 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1833334318572828
2026-05-285.78 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1833968530888746
2026-05-280.03 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1833968530888928
2026-05-313.1 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1833968530895860
2026-06-043.91 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1834602721188293
2026-06-127.31 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1835236783562074
2026-06-3018.68 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1836506165563227
2026-07-011.23 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1836506165566600
2026-07-097.86 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1836506165584438
2026-07-2819.04 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1839041357039193
2026-07-301.95 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1839676055886206
2026-08-1213.15 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1840944183775204
2026-08-229.95 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1841579228672283
2026-09-1624.94 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1844115010490072
2026-09-2913.01 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1844751498235383
2026-10-056.11 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1845383656394833
2026-10-159.17 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1846651706676198

06 / RELEASE MIX

Big changes. Small changes.

Major / minor classification from the archive heuristic.

Patch classification
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
View exact values and sources
Patch classification data
RecordValueSource / UTC
Major8 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Minor18 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net

07 / RELEASE WINDOWS

A week at a glance

Rows Monday–Sunday · columns 00–04, 04–08, 08–12, 12–16, 16–20, 20–24. Darker cells mean fewer releases.

Release weekday and four-hour window
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
View exact values and sources
Release weekday and four-hour window data
RecordValueSource / UTC
Mon 0–4h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Mon 4–8h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Mon 8–12h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Mon 12–16h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Mon 16–20h1 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Mon 20–24h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Tue 0–4h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Tue 4–8h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Tue 8–12h1 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Tue 12–16h4 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Tue 16–20h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Tue 20–24h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Wed 0–4h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Wed 4–8h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Wed 8–12h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Wed 12–16h3 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Wed 16–20h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Wed 20–24h1 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Thu 0–4h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Thu 4–8h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Thu 8–12h3 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Thu 12–16h3 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Thu 16–20h4 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Thu 20–24h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Fri 0–4h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Fri 4–8h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Fri 8–12h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Fri 12–16h4 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Fri 16–20h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Fri 20–24h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sat 0–4h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sat 4–8h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sat 8–12h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sat 12–16h1 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sat 16–20h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sat 20–24h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sun 0–4h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sun 4–8h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sun 8–12h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sun 12–16h1 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sun 16–20h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sun 20–24h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net

WAIT TOGETHER

Your stream has room for one more obsession.

Add the patch clock to OBS. Give chat something measurable to argue about.

Open stream overlay