valvetime.gg

PATCH WATCH / CS2

Counter-Strike 2

All trackers

CS2 update monitor, map and weapon histories →

Street level / Bellevue

Video: City of Bellevue ↗
CONNECTING

Bellevue Way / NE 4th

Nearest HQ street intersection
CONNECTING
CONNECTING
CONNECTING
CONNECTING
CONNECTING

Live public roads, not a view inside Valve. ← / → switch · F fullscreen. Streams pause after 30 seconds per City bandwidth guidance; press Play to resume.

Stream unavailable? WSDOT fallback stills ↗

PATCH IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS

12%

An estimate. Not a promise from Valve.

SINCE LAST PATCH

2d 07h 45m 11s

You can probably make a cup of tea.

Last major update: no reading

PUBLIC SIGNALS / UNOFFICIAL ESTIMATEReading:

LIVE / WAITING ROOM

Something is happening. Somewhere.

Players on Steam

678,752

An entire crowd with the same refresh key. Source: Steam ↗

Test branch pushes today

no reading

No public test apps configured for this game. Source: steamcmd.net ↗.

PATCH HISTORY / LAST 26 WEEKS

Counter-Strike 2: signs of life

Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear

■ Patch day · dark = no patch in available feed · outline = no reading. Pacific dates; the source may cover less than 26 weeks.

Read the dated patch history ↗

DAILY CALL / PACIFIC TIME

Patch today? Call it.

One call per network per game per day. Calls close when a patch lands.

No calls yet. A rare consensus.

Results settle when a patch lands, or after midnight Pacific.

Correct-call streak on this browser: no reading

THE COLLECTIVE WAIT

We could have learned a language.

0.0 h

Community time logged on visible tracker tabs since this counter launched. Whole minutes, at most one per network each minute. Requires shared Redis storage.

The tab title alerts you when a new patch is detected. Checks every 60 seconds while this page is open.

Open live share card ↗ · Latest patch notes ↗

[ EXTERIOR FEEDS / PUGET SOUND ]

Outside is still rendering.

● CAMERAS AVAILABLE

Bellevue: I-405 at MP 13.7: NE 7th St, West

Bellevue: I-405 at MP 13.7: NE 7th St, West

0.9 km from HQ · Last camera update

View on Windy ↗ · Camera operator ↗

1 / 12

Public surroundings, not a view inside Valve. Stills are periodic snapshots. Daylight is an earlier daylight image.

Webcams provided by Windy.com — add a webcam

Bellevue: I-405 at MP 13.7: NE 7th St, West

// COMMUNITY TELEMETRY

the internet is watching

The audience has assembled. The patch remains at large.

Counter-Strike 2

TWITCH / OBSERVED

21,041live viewers

660live channels

Observed · updates every 5 min

Twitch category: Counter-Strike · may include other Counter-Strike titles.

010,53221,063−24h−18h−12h−6hlatest05:10 UTC · 20,534 viewers · 875 channels06:25 UTC · 20,321 viewers · 680 channels06:30 UTC · 20,536 viewers · 674 channels06:35 UTC · 20,807 viewers · 680 channels06:40 UTC · 21,063 viewers · 685 channels06:45 UTC · 21,041 viewers · 660 channels
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
24h observations · 5-minute samples · gaps mean no reading
View recorded counts
Counter-Strike 2 · recorded Twitch samples (UTC)
TimeViewersChannels
2026-10-17 05:1020,534875
2026-10-17 06:2520,321680
2026-10-17 06:3020,536674
2026-10-17 06:3520,807680
2026-10-17 06:4021,063685
2026-10-17 06:4521,041660

Spike detector: no reading · needs 30 minutes of continuous samples

Heuristic, not patch confirmation. Tournaments and raids can also draw a crowd.

Top live streamers

  1. 01fuslie ↗CS NIGHT WITH RAE, CHIBLEE, ABE, ARCKON :)5,608viewers
  2. 02Cozart_2s1 ↗5000Elo😈 @m0NESYof w @donk1437/!Пати!elo!донат !роспись2,563viewers
  3. 03keliencs ↗я осознал что такое фокус. теперь я готов побеждать | !tg !fonbet1,731viewers
  4. 04ariwka21 ↗путь самурая до 2200 эла.. <3 !MAGIC !elo !аришкагадай !пати WW909viewers
  5. 05onewaywater ↗иркутский эгоист на поле795viewers

Source: Twitch Helix. Counts are collected across live pages, not an instantaneous census. Streamer links do not imply endorsement or overlay use.

01 / Live ADS-B · 25 nautical miles

Airspace / Bellevue

19 positioned aircraftN ↑ · HQ 47.6152, −122.2015
HQ25 NM1010 aircraftABX3187UAL747N433LFASA1373ASA17
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear

Orange = business jet type, not owner identity. Stacked positions are grouped; hover, focus or tap for every aircraft. Trails join the same hex within 3 minutes and 25 NM. Sweep is decorative.

02 / Patch gap distribution

How long is a long wait?

2.3 days since last release
TODAY · 40th percentile
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear

Historical gaps, not a probability forecast. Source coverage may be incomplete.

03 / Calendar · UTC

The release record

179 sourced releases · feed traversed to 2024

2024JAN → DEC
2025JAN → DEC
2026JAN → DEC
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
04 / Model decomposition

What moved the needle

12% entertainment estimate
Patch drought / median gapObserved pushes today (UTC)Observed test push recencyHistorical weekday priorPrivate jet activityRain at HQBird observation deficitAI service outagesTwitch viewer spike (estimate)
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear

Baseline −2.5 log-odds → sum contributions → logistic transform. Missing signals contribute zero. This model is not calibrated.

05 / Steam activity · trailing 72 hours

The build room has a pulse

MAIN
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear

no reading · collecting consecutive observations. −72h → latest observation. Blank regions are unobserved; spikes mean a change-number transition, not a release count. Process-local history; resets on restart.

06 / HQ schematic

A few blocks of circumstantial evidence

            │                   │             
            │                   │             
 BELLEVUE   │                   │             
            │                   │             
            │                   │             
────────────── NE 8TH ST ─────────────────────
            │                   │             
            │                   │             
            │                   │             
            │  [HQ]             │             
            │                   │             
────────────── NE 4TH ST ─────────────────────
            │                   │             
            │                   │             
            │                   │I-405        
            │                   │

14.2°C · wind 10.9 km/h · rain 0 mm · Open-Meteo · observation 2026-10-17T06:45:00Z · read at 2026-10-17T06:47:59.358Z

Schematic, not to scale. ▲ = observed aircraft in this local window. Camera locations: no reading.

Behind the number

THE INSTRUMENTS

Public inputs, weighted liberally. Missing readings add nothing.

Patch odds signal inputs, weights and contributions
SignalInputWeightEffect
Patch drought / median gapThe calendar has filed a complaint.0.381.20+0.45
Observed pushes today (UTC)The build machinery has made a noise.0.002.400.00
Observed test push recencyno readingno reading: no public test appsno reading1.40—
Historical weekday priorThe calendar is circumstantial evidence.0.100.80+0.08
Private jet activityBusiness class remains unconfirmed.0.000.150.00
Rain at HQOutside has been deprioritized.0.000.150.00
Bird observation deficitThe birds declined to comment.0.000.100.00
AI service outagesAutocomplete has requested a break.0.00-0.500.00
Twitch viewer spike (estimate)no readinginsufficient fresh Twitch baselineno reading0.40—
The formula, without the lab coatEstimate (entertainment, not calibrated): round(100 / (1 + exp(-(-2.5 + sum(signal.contribution))))). Each contribution = displayed weight × input. Missing readings contribute 0. Twitch weight 0.4; viewer-spike baseline is a heuristic. Pushes are observed transitions, not total releases.

Contributions affect the model score, not percentage points. These odds are an uncalibrated estimate for entertainment.

Recorded dev changes today: 0

Around HQ

BELLEVUE, WA

Circumstantial evidence. Emphasis on circumstantial.

Air traffic
0 private jets
19 aircraft nearby · 0 on approach
adsb.lol ↗
Weather
14.2°C
0 mm rain · 10.9 km/h wind · 1016.5 hPa · observation 2026-10-17T06:45:00Z
Open-Meteo ↗
Bird observations
2 over 7 UTC dates
1.5 weekly baseline · today and prior 6 UTC dates vs preceding 28 dates · sightings, not a bird census
iNaturalist ↗
AI services
2 / 2 operational
Public service status · no individual activity
OpenAI ↗ · Claude ↗

LAST TRANSMISSION

Latest patch

· minor update

Counter-Strike 2 Update

\ Demo/Replay viewer improvements: Added a progress bar for demo/replay downloads Camera controls now use click-and-drag scheme Free and chase camera are usable

Read patch notes Browse the patch archive →

RELEASE INTELLIGENCE / AVAILABLE HISTORY

A pattern. Allegedly.

40 observed patches

Release times use America/Los_Angeles (PST/PDT). Counts describe the fetched archive, not all-time history. steamstore-a.akamaihd.net.

01 / THE WAIT

Between transmissions

Completed gaps between consecutive patches. Today is the ongoing wait.

Gap-between-patches distribution

↳ Today · 2.3 days since latest patch

Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
View exact values and sources
Gap-between-patches distribution data
RecordValueSource / UTC
<1d6 intervalssteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
1–2d7 intervalssteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
2–4d9 intervalssteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
4–7d8 intervalssteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
7–14d7 intervalssteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
14–30d2 intervalssteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
30d+0 intervalssteamstore-a.akamaihd.net

02 / BELLEVUE TIME

When the button gets pressed

Release hour, 00–23. A timezone, not a promise.

Hour-of-day releases
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
View exact values and sources
Hour-of-day releases data
RecordValueSource / UTC
000 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
010 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
020 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
030 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
040 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
050 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
060 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
070 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
080 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
090 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
100 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
110 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
120 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
131 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
146 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
1516 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
1611 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
174 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
181 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
191 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
200 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
210 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
220 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
230 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net

03 / WEEKLY HABITS

Does Valve have a type?

Patch counts by local weekday.

Weekday releases
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
View exact values and sources
Weekday releases data
RecordValueSource / UTC
Mon8 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Tue7 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Wed11 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Thu10 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Fri4 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sat0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sun0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net

04 / READING MATERIAL

How long are the patch notes?

Plain-text word count, not download bytes. Full notes available for 40 / 40 patches.

Patch-size distribution (note words)
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
View exact values and sources
Patch-size distribution (note words) data
RecordValueSource / UTC
<10018 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
100–49921 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
500–9991 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
1k–3k0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
3k+0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net

05 / CADENCE

The wait, over time

Days between releases, oldest → newest.

Release gap history
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
View exact values and sources
Release gap history data
RecordValueSource / UTC
2026-04-144.95 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1830163047252212
2026-04-172.94 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1830163047261361
2026-04-203.09 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1830163047267301
2026-04-210.09 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1830163047267453
2026-04-210.89 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1830797770229332
2026-04-221.01 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1830797770231786
2026-04-242 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1830797770237569
2026-04-283.99 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1831432155563523
2026-04-290.97 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1831432155566354
2026-04-301.04 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1831432155569878
2026-05-076.97 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1832065502813482
2026-05-147.01 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1832700592790456
2026-05-184.05 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1832700592799760
2026-05-201.98 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1833334318567523
2026-05-221.07 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1833334318570409
2026-05-296.98 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1833968530889736
2026-06-1012.88 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1835236783558731
2026-07-0120.23 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1836506165564135
2026-07-087.83 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1836506165581827
2026-07-090.95 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1836506165584645
2026-07-155.12 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1838407329252903
2026-07-161.96 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1838407329258098
2026-07-203.98 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1838407329267700
2026-07-298.06 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1839676055881227
2026-08-035.86 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1839676055895877
2026-08-129.06 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1840944183775194
2026-08-197.03 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1841579228663932
2026-08-245 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1841579228676851
2026-09-0915.97 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1843481262690556
2026-09-2213.03 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1844751498216924
2026-09-230.98 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1844751498219795
2026-09-240.95 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1844751498222773
2026-09-251 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1844751498226015
2026-09-283.03 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1844751498232642
2026-09-302.01 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1845383656379136
2026-10-021.98 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1845383656387875
2026-10-053.05 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1845383656394875
2026-10-082.96 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1846018067931597
2026-10-146.02 days between patcheshttps://steamstore-a.akamaihd.net/news/externalpost/steam_community_announcements/1846651706675829

06 / RELEASE MIX

Big changes. Small changes.

Major / minor classification from the archive heuristic.

Patch classification
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
View exact values and sources
Patch classification data
RecordValueSource / UTC
Major0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Minor40 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net

07 / RELEASE WINDOWS

A week at a glance

Rows Monday–Sunday · columns 00–04, 04–08, 08–12, 12–16, 16–20, 20–24. Darker cells mean fewer releases.

Release weekday and four-hour window
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
View exact values and sources
Release weekday and four-hour window data
RecordValueSource / UTC
Mon 0–4h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Mon 4–8h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Mon 8–12h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Mon 12–16h3 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Mon 16–20h5 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Mon 20–24h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Tue 0–4h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Tue 4–8h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Tue 8–12h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Tue 12–16h3 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Tue 16–20h4 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Tue 20–24h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Wed 0–4h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Wed 4–8h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Wed 8–12h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Wed 12–16h7 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Wed 16–20h4 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Wed 20–24h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Thu 0–4h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Thu 4–8h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Thu 8–12h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Thu 12–16h6 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Thu 16–20h4 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Thu 20–24h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Fri 0–4h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Fri 4–8h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Fri 8–12h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Fri 12–16h4 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Fri 16–20h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Fri 20–24h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sat 0–4h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sat 4–8h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sat 8–12h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sat 12–16h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sat 16–20h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sat 20–24h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sun 0–4h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sun 4–8h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sun 8–12h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sun 12–16h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sun 16–20h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net
Sun 20–24h0 patchessteamstore-a.akamaihd.net

WAIT TOGETHER

Your stream has room for one more obsession.

Add the patch clock to OBS. Give chat something measurable to argue about.

Open stream overlay